NASDAQ: FLY · Aerospace & Defense

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) stock sentiment

Over the past week, Firefly Aerospace (FLY) logged about 51 mentions across Reddit, X and news, and the read is an Adanos Sell. The crowd averages 37% bullish but is at odds: News runs 75% bullish while Reddit sits at just 0%. Wall Street is more constructive, with 7 of 10 analysts rating FLY a buy.

There is little buzz around FLY this week and little agreement on direction, which is why it reads as a Sell.

Wall Street vs the crowd on FLY

Wall Street’s 70% buy share sits next to a crowd that ranges from Reddit at 0% to News at 75%. No other tracker puts the two side by side.

Analyst ratings

Strong Buy
Buy 7
Hold 3
Sell 0
Avg target $38.18

10 analysts have weighed in: a Strong Buy consensus: 7 buy calls against 0 sell, with an average 12-month price target of $38.18.

10 analysts70% buy share

Crowd sentiment

Sell
Crowd bullish 37%
Spread 75 pts
Most bullish News 75%
Most bearish Reddit 0%

The Adanos signal blends each source’s bullish ratio, source breadth, buzz intensity and 3-day momentum. This week bullish sits just below the neutral line, momentum is mixed and the 3 sources disagree sharply, so the read is a Sell.

3 sourcesWide divergence

Who is bullish on FLY

75pt spread
Wall St
70%
News
75%
X
36%
Reddit
0%
Wall Street (analyst buy share)Crowd average 37%

Analysts sit 33 points above the crowd average of 37%, the professionals are more constructive than retail. The split is inside the crowd: News reads 75% bullish while Reddit sits at 0%, a 75-point spread that single-source trackers miss.

Why FLY reads Sell

Sell -17.4
Bullish Average
Average sentiment is 37.0% bullish, below the 50% neutral line.
-16.9
Trend
Momentum is balanced: 1 up, 1 down, 1 flat.
0.0
Buzz
Discussion intensity is 26.1, well below the usual midpoint.
-2.0
Source Breadth
This signal is based on 3 tracked sources.
+1.5
Consensus
1 bullish source and 2 bearish sources keep the score from getting a consensus bonus.
0.0

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) buzz score vs. EOD price

Over the 30-day window, Firefly Aerospace (FLY) buzz held subdued around 29.6 while the price drifted down 5.3% across the period. The chart tracks how social and news attention moved against end-of-day price. Average daily trading volume across the displayed trading days is 3.5M shares. Updated Oct 10, 2026. Over the last 7 trading days, FLY lost 12.5%. Buzz activity in the recent week averaged 45.3 and was variable, swinging between 29.6 and 62.8. Recent volume is in line with the 30-day average, reflecting steady institutional and retail participation. Daily crowd sentiment leaned bullish on 20 of the 21 days with directional mentions, shown as the green, grey and red breakdown bars below the chart.

How each source saw FLY this week

Signal metrics use the latest 7 days; contributor and breadth context uses the 30-day chart window.

Reddit 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 0.0
Bullish 0%
Mentions 0
Trend Stable
1 subreddits · 30-day context7-day sentiment 0.0
Bullish 0%Neutral 100%Bearish 0%
r/wallstreetbets Bullish
Loudest Reddit venue in the 30-day context window with 3 mentions.

X 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 56.4
Bullish 36%
Mentions 47
Trend Falling
47 tweets7-day sentiment +0.1
Bullish 36%Neutral 55%Bearish 9%
@retail_mourinho · 30-day context Neutral 0.12
“dogdays for the space sector are over $ASTS $RKLB $FLY”
♥ 91↻ 0👁 11K views

News 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 21.8
Bullish 75%
Mentions 4
Trend Rising
10 publishers · 30-day context7-day sentiment +0.3
Bullish 75%Neutral 0%Bearish 25%
MarketBeat · 30-day context Bullish 0.91
“Barclays assumed coverage on Firefly Aerospace in a research note on Friday. They issued an "equal weight" rating and a $34.00 price target…” Led by MarketBeat and The Motley Fool.

Polymarket signal

No Polymarket data for this stock this week.

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Firefly Aerospace (FLY) at a glance

This week’s sentiment from Adanos, with fundamentals and analyst consensus. A quick-reference snapshot for Oct 10, 2026.

Adanos signalSell
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (7 / 3 / 0)
Crowd bullish (7d)37%
Avg price target$38.18
Most bullish sourceNews, 75%
Most bearish sourceReddit, 0%
Sentiment spread75 pts
Mentions (7d)51
Market cap$3.46B
EPS · Beta-$0.26 · n/a
Revenue (TTM)$287M · -129% margin
IndustryAerospace & Defense

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) stock sentiment FAQ

Is Firefly Aerospace (FLY) a buy or sell right now?

Based on aggregated sentiment from Reddit, X and News sources, Firefly Aerospace (FLY) currently carries an Adanos sell signal with 93/100 conviction. The current cross-source average reads 37% bullish across 3 active sources. Those sources contribute 51 tracked mentions over the last 7 days. This is a sentiment-based reading, not financial advice.

What does Reddit say about FLY stock?

Reddit discussion around Firefly Aerospace (FLY) is fairly quiet with 0 mentions over the last 7 days; the 30-day context spans 1 tracked subreddits. The 7-day tone is 0% bullish; 3-day activity momentum is stable, suggesting steady attention.

Is Firefly Aerospace (FLY) bullish or bearish right now?

The crowd reads bearish on Firefly Aerospace (FLY), averaging 37% bullish across 3 tracked sources over the last 7 days. The two ends of the range are News at 75% bullish and Reddit at 0%, a 75-point spread. On the professional side, 7 of 10 analysts rate FLY a buy.

What do analysts say about Firefly Aerospace (FLY)?

Of the 10 analysts covering Firefly Aerospace (FLY), 7 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell, for a strong buy consensus. The average price target is $38.18. That puts the street ahead of the crowd, which averages 37% bullish.

What is the sentiment on FLY stock?

Firefly Aerospace (FLY)'s cross-source average is bearish at 37% bullish. Source readings are split: 1 source leans bullish and 2 sources lean bearish. X reads 36% bullish, News reads 75% bullish and reddit coverage is the most negative at 0% bullish. The combined signal points to broad sell-side pressure with 93/100 conviction.

Why does FLY carry a sell signal right now?

The cross-source average is bearish for Firefly Aerospace (FLY) at 37% bullish. Source readings are split: 1 source leans bullish and 2 sources lean bearish. The most bearish reading is reddit at 0% bullish. 3-day activity momentum is falling on X, while news activity is rising. The sell signal carries 93/100 conviction.

What is driving Firefly Aerospace (FLY) sentiment right now?

X is the dominant discussion channel with 47 mentions (92% of total volume). News contributes 4 mentions. The cross-source average is bearish at 37% bullish, while news is the only source with rising 3-day activity. Source readings are split: 1 source leans bullish and 2 sources lean bearish.

What does the Adanos sell signal mean for Firefly Aerospace (FLY)?

The Adanos signal blends bullish ratio, buzz score, source breadth and 3-day activity momentum into a single buy/sell reading. FLY's sell signal at 93/100 conviction reflects a bearish cross-source average at 37% bullish. Source readings are split: 1 source leans bullish and 2 sources lean bearish. It is a research shortcut, not financial advice.

How fresh is this FLY sentiment data?

The FLY sentiment page is regenerated from the latest 7-day tracking window at each build. Data reflects the most recent Reddit posts, tweets and news articles available in the current publishing cycle.

Peers are ranked first by matching the Sell signal, then by the closest bullish ratio. Discussion activity breaks any remaining ties.

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